The Hot Sheet, August 8, 2016
Author: Jared Wright - August 8, 2016 - Updated: August 8, 2016
VOL. 01 NO. 147 | AUGUST 08, 2016 | COLORADOSTATESMAN.COM/THE-HOT-SHEET | © 2016
By TCS Editor and Publisher Jared Wright
DENVER — Good morning, and Happy Monday. Today is Happiness Happens Day, founded by the Secret Society of Happy People, an organization aiming to spread the joy of being happy, in 1999. But, former U.S. Rep. and bygone Republican Tom Tancredo … he wasn’t so happy, at least not yesterday. That is to say he sounded kind of curmudgeonly, but perhaps today he’s pleased with himself, so able to fully celebrate the happy holiday. Read on to find out why …
Today is the last day for activists to file petition signatures with the secretary of state’s office. Will fractivists have the signatures they need to get one or both of their measures onto the November ballot? They are really doing some last-minute scrambling!
Read on for more in today’s Colorado politics ecosphere …
“If Trump were polling well in Coffman’s District, you would see and hear only glowing praise for The Donald from the political chameleon, Mike Coffman.”
Now, your substrata feed straight from Colorado’s politics pipeline:
MORGAN CARROLL READY TO SPEND LOTS AND LOTS OF MONEY IN CAMPAIGN FOR CONGRESS, MATCHING COFFMAN — Our own Ernest Luning had another exclusive for you this weekend when The Statesman learned Democrat State Sen. Morgan Carroll has reserved just under $1.2 million in fall television advertising, nearly matching her opponent Republican U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman‘s own ad buy.
Carroll: “We’re really excited about the ad buy. It is going to be an incredibly strong, robust way to introduce who I am, who I’m fighting for and what I’m fighting for.”
Total advertising reservations for Carroll, DCCC and House Majority PAC: $6,671,578.
Total advertising reservations for Coffman, NRCC: $6,077,848.
STATESMAN EXCLUSIVE: INTERNAL MEMOS, EMAILS SHOW INTENSE DEMOCRATIC PARTY SPLIT ON COLORADOCARE AMENDMENT — A “July 18 memo caused some party elected officials to express concerns about the opposing approaches from the party and candidate’s stances on the contentious ballot measure. The memo was reportedly followed up with a conference call two days later to Democratic candidates, where project staff explained each candidate could decide to use or ignore the talking points.”
“One candidate upset about the issue, who did not want to be identified, said the memo gave candidates ‘safe space and a reason’ to oppose the amendment, counter to the party platform that supports ColoradoCare.”
IN TUMULTUOUS ELECTION, TANCREDO GOES FOR MIKE COFFMAN’S JUGULAR — Former 6th Congressional District Congressman Tom Tancredo wrote an opinion article for Breitbart, published yesterday, in which he called out his successor, current U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman, for being disingenuous. Tancredo has long viewed Coffman as a political featherweight due to Coffman’s seeming repudiation of Tancredo’s much-farther-right positions that the TANC espoused to win and represent the seat, so, seeing an opportunity with the recently left-wing created controversy over support – or not so much support — for Trump, Tancredo pounced like an alley cat.
“If I believed for a millisecond that Coffman had, indeed, said what he said about Trump out of a sense of patriotic duty, I could forgive, and maybe even applaud, that decision,” Tancredo wrote for Breitbart. “Sadly, I know better: Mike Coffman is the worst kind of opportunist. The only thing authentic about him is his passionate desire to keep that House Member pin on his lapel.”
Tancredo’s scathing words were prompted by an ad Coffman’s campaign released in which the former Marine turned-congressman said, “People ask me, ‘What do you think about Trump?’ Honestly, I don’t care for him much. And I certainly don’t trust Hillary. …”
Progressive bloggers and activists pounced on that ad as nothing more than a political ploy (aren’t all political ads?) — and a death-blow to Coffman’s campaign (an over-the-top analysis) — after Coffman said in a subsequent interview that he had not yet ruled out voting for Trump.
But don’t throw stones if you live in a glass house … “What’s so bad about this?,” conservative blog RedState asked in response to Tancredo’s op-ed. “The problem is that Tom Tancredo of all people has no room to label anyone else an opportunist. You may have read last year Tom Tancredo formally left the Republican Party last year, but that wasn’t the first time. You see, back in 2010 when TEA party upstart Dan Maes edged out establishment veteran Scott McInnis in the Colorado primary for Governor, Tom Tancredo hadn’t united behind the party nominee.”
HILLARY CLINTON’S CAMPAIGN MANAGER TO HEADLINE COLORADO FUNDRAISER — Want to spend an evening with Robby Mook, Hillary Clinton‘s genius campaign manager, at the home of Arash Mosaleh and uber-political strategist Ted Trimpa? Say no more. For $100 (if you are a young professional), $250 (if you’re a more established adult) or $1,000 (co-host), you can do just that at the evening fundraiser Aug. 15.
Mook has recently set off alarms over Trump’s fundraising, and appears to be taking steps himself — right here in Denver and across the U.S. — to help mitigate that.
“Donald Trump also had his best fundraising month of the campaign, raising $80 million,” Mook wrote in an email blast to supporters titled “Wake Up Call.” “This was far more than anyone expected — and should be a wake-up call to all Hillary supporters. We must redouble our efforts in the coming weeks.”
SENATOR BENNET JOINS CUBA MOVEMENT, HOPES TO BOOST TRADE — U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet has formed a council group of 38 Coloradans from the travel, banking, tourism and agricultural communities in a partnership with Engage Cuba to help strengthen trade ties between the Centennial State and the formerly embargoed island nation. “Whether it’s potatoes in the San Luis Valley, grass-fed beef from the Western Slope, milk and cheese from local dairies or wheat from the eastern plains, Cuba will create excellent new opportunities for farmers and ranchers,” Bennet said. “Unfortunately, our agriculture industry, the state’s third largest, is missing out on these lucrative markets. We hope that the creation of this council will help build support for our bill and open doors for economic growth for Colorado producers.” Full story here
SEVERAL WEEKS INTO HIS RECESS, BENNET GIVES FIRST INTERVIEW ON HIS SENATE RACE — “What concerns me the most is that I don’t want Colorado to send somebody to Washington who’s going to contribute to the problem, and the problem is people standing on the floor, grandstanding and saying, ‘I am unwilling to work with somebody on the other side of the aisle,'” Bennet told Denver ABC 7’s Marshall Zelinger. “In my opponents words, (it’s) ‘because they’re evil’ because they’re Democrats. That is so far from what people in Colorado want. What they want to see is people working together.”
CLOCK TICKING DOWN: REPORT: COLORADO GOP HAS THE EDGE, BUT ONLY 3 MONTHS TO REGAIN ACTIVE VOTERS — Via Denver Post’s Mark Matthews, “Of the state’s roughly 3 million active voters, about 32.3 percent are Republican — a drop of about 4 percentage points from four years ago. Democrats, meanwhile, showed a tiny uptick from 31.6 percent to 31.9 percent, pulling nearly even with the GOP.”
“The Republican campaign strength is eroding,” said David Flaherty, a Colorado pollster and political consultant who once worked at the Republican National Committee. “It’s going to be very difficult to be successful in November for Republican candidates as long as that continues.”
BET YOU DIDN’T KNOW, COLORADO IS A TOP WELCOMING STATE FOR REFUGEES ACCORDING TO STUDY. AND … FALLOUT OVER EL PASO COUNTY RESOLUTION — “The 10 states with the most positive tweets [towards refugees] were ranked as Washington, Maine, Utah, Kansas, New Hampshire, West Virginia, Idaho, Colorado, Oregon and South Carolina. At the bottom of that spectrum were Mississippi, Arkansas, Wyoming, New Mexico, Alaska, Ohio, Delaware, Iowa, North Carolina and Wisconsin. …”
COUNTY COMMISSION/CITY COUNCIL FLASHBACK: Colorado Springs City Councilman Andres Pico supported a December 2015 El Paso resolution in March 2016 calling on the Colorado State Refugee Coordinator to “notify El Paso County immediately” of impending refugee resettlement and coordinate to “mitigate potential impacts” on county finances and services.
After that: “We’ve received more emails over the past three days than we’ve received in our three years on council,” council President Pro Tem Jill Gaebler told Pico at the time. “I really humbly request that you just kill it and put it to bed right now. We don’t have jurisdiction over this, and the community knows that. It makes us look mean-spirited at best. At worst, it makes us look bigoted, racist, xenophobic.”
VAIL RESORTS TO SIGN $1.39 BILLION DEAL TO ACQUIRE WHISTLER BLACKCOMB — “Combining Whistler Blackcomb with Vail Resorts‘ portfolio of outstanding resorts provides Whistler Blackcomb with increased financial strength, marketing exposure, guest relationships and broadens the geographic diversity of our company with resorts across the United States, as well as in Australia and Canada,” Whistler Chief Executive Dave Brownlie said in a statement. The deal is worth C$36 per share, based on closing stock prices and currency exchange rates as of Aug. 5. Full story here
DENVER CITY COUNCILMAN ALBUS BROOKS PUTS CANCER BEHIND HIM, RETURNS TO WORK — Albus Brooks was recently chosen as the new Denver City Council president for next year, a vote of confidence from his peers even while he was on medical leave dealing with cancer — a 15-pound tumor near his pelvis — in addition to the death of his father. Brooks will return to work tonight. Brooks: “I’m so excited to be back and working hard. This affordable housing issue is probably one of the most important projects I’ve worked on, hands-down.” Full story here
TODAY’S POLLING — CLINTON: 46% TRUMP: 37% UNDECIDED: 18% SOURCE: Morning Consult
AGGREGATED NUMBERS (last 2 months of polling): CLINTON: 47.0%, TRUMP 39.7%, UNDECIDED: 8.2% OTHER: 5.1% SOURCE: Huffpost Pollster
TIPOFF: FRACTIVISTS ARE IN A CRAZY LAST-MINUTE SCRAMBLE! DEADLINE FOR GROUPS TO FILE PETITION SIGNATURES FOR BALLOT INITIATIVES, INCLUDING THOSE SEEKING TO LIMIT FRACKING, IS TODAY, AUG. 8 —
Initiative 75 (Local Control) and Initiative 78 (2,500 setbacks).
Yes for Health and Safety Colorado posted this morning pictures from Earth Guardians Director of Development Christian O’Rourke and Yes for Health and Safety’s Russell Mendell. The two photos appear to show volunteers cataloging petition signatures in a living room somewhere — not necessarily a good sign on the last day to turn those signatures in.
CON (@ProtectColorado): “These measures are really backdoor fracking bans that would be economically devastating for our state,” said a spokesperson for Protect Colorado, an industry-backed issue committee fighting measures 75 and 78.
“We see the worst-case-scenario (Initiative 78 being approved and passed) as a very low probability but because of the rapid transformation of Colorado’s electorate and unprecedented nature of November’s election, we believe that the low-probability high-impact risk event warrants investor concern until it can be ruled out,” said FBR & Co. analyst Benjamin Salisbury in a note Thursday.
PRO (@SierraClubRMC): “The Sierra Club has endorsed proposed Amendments 75 and 78. These are aimed at protecting our health, safety, property values and environment from the harms of fracking.”
Full story here
INSIDERS: RAISE THE BAR SIGNATURES SHOULD BE CONFIRMED, EARN PLACE ON BALLOT FOR THE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT AMENDMENT … AMENDMENT … AMENDMENT, YOU GET THE PICTURE — Raise the Bar filed 185,000 signatures Friday with the secretary of state’s office. The signatures should be running at a high validity rate due to the methodologies used for collection and internal validation, sources tell us. The ballot initiative would create a constitutional amendment to make it more difficult to amend Colorado’s Constitution. It will appear on the November 2016 ballot if enough signatures — 98,492 — are validated by the SOS.
RIGHT TO DIE PETITION SIGNATURES TURNED IN — On Thursday, Colorado End of Life Options, a campaign in support of Initiative 145, to make it legal for doctors to prescribe lethal drugs to terminally ill patients, turned in 160,000 signatures. 98,492 valid signatures are needed to earn a place on the ballot. Full story here
DO BIG PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN RALLY CROWDS BRING POSITIVE ECONOMIC IMPACTS? — “Trump came here and there was probably a small bump that day,” said Tatiana Bailey, director of the UCCS Economic Forum. “It’s very possible that people came from around the area and either spent the night or came that day and spent money here. But it would have been modest, not like the four-day Democratic convention like Denver had four years ago.” Full story here
12-YEAR-OLD WESTON, FOUNDER OF COLORADO KIDS FOR TRUMP, READY TO RUN FOR PRESIDENT … OR VICE PRESIDENT IN 2040 — Check out the interview with Weston by 9News’s Kyle Clark here.
“Anybody whose mind ‘SHORT CIRCUITS’ is not fit to be our president! Look up the word ‘BRAINWASHED.’”
Fundraiser for Republican Kevin Priola for Senate District 25 — Tuesday, August 9, 7:30 a.m. — 9:00 a.m., Eagle View Adult Center, 1150 Prairie Center Parkway, Brighton. Join us for a breakfast and bring your checkbook. Help support this crucial Senate campaign! The host committee:
Luncheon Fundraiser for Rep. Clarice Navarro — Wednesday, August 10, 11:30 a.m. — 1:00 p.m. El Señor Sol, 2301 7th St, Denver. $100 per person. Hosted by Jefferson County Commissioner Libby Szabo and state Rep. Justin Everett. RSVP to Tammy at email@example.com
Custer County Democrats Monthly Meeting — Monday, August 8, Custer Library Community Room, 209 Main St., Westcliffe, CO
Last day for unaffiliated candidate for president and vice president to submit a statement of intent to run, a $1,000 filing fee, and a list of electors — Wednesday, August 10, no later than 3:00 p.m.
El Paso County GOP Lincoln Day Dinner — Friday, August 12, 6:00 p.m. – 9:00 p.m. Join the El Paso County GOP to celebrate President Abraham Lincoln. Guests include U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner and GOP U.S. Senate candidate Darryl Glenn. Location: Cheyenne Mountain Resort, 3225 Broadmoor Valley Rd, Colorado Springs, Colorado 80906. For more information, contact Mary Bradfield at firstname.lastname@example.org or (719) 578-0022. For tickets, visit here.
Larimer County Republican Breakfast Club — Monday, August 15, 7:00 – 8:30 AM, Johnson’s Corner, Southeast Frontage Road, I-25 Exit 254. Meeting held every Monday morning. Same time, same place. Attendance is open to the public. Cost for a buffet style breakfast is $10, and $2 for students. Join for $20, and get a monthly mailing of upcoming speakers and a name tag. Congressman Bob Schaffer founded this club in 1996, when he first went to Congress. For more information, contact Donna Gustafson.
Fundraiser for Rep. Ed Perlmutter — Thursday, August 18, 5:30 p.m. — 7:00 p.m., Home of Cassie Perlmutter and Joe Levi, Denver, Suggested contributions: Host $1000, Co-Host $500, Friend $250, Guest $100, Supporter $36, RSVP to Kelly Hogan at email@example.com.
Policy Conversation with Hon. Kathleen Sebelius in support of Hillary Victory Fund — Saturday, August 20, 2:00 p.m. — 3:30 p.m., Home of Drs. Alisa and Steve Sherick, Denver, Host, $5,000, Co-Host $1,000, Supporter $250. RSVP here]
American Majority’s Digital Campaign and Activism Training with special guest trainer Lee Hopper — Monday, August 22, 6:00 p.m., Crossroads Community Church, Northglenn Campus, 10451 Huron St., Northglenn, CO.
5th Annual Senate Majority Fund All-Star Party! — Tuesday, August 23, 5:00 p.m. — 7:00 p.m., 1600 Glenarm Place, 3rd Floor, Demonstration Kitchen, Denver. Your Colorado Republican State Senators cordially invite you to join them for cocktails, appetizers and to reminisce about the recently played MLB All-Star Game!
Denver Reception for Rep. Kit Roupe — Thursday, August 25, 5:00 p.m. — 7:00 p.m., DCO 110 16th St. Ste. 501, Denver. Please join Kyle Forti and Caleb Bonham in re-electing Kit Roupe for Colorado House District 17. $400 maximum individual contribution. No contributions from corporations allowed.
Adams County 50th Anniversary JFK Dinner — Saturday, August 27, 6:00 p.m., Double Tree by Hilton, Castle Event Center, I-25 and 120th Ave. Master of Ceremonies state Sen. Morgan Carroll. Special guest speaker to be announced after the Democratic National Convention.
Last day for U.S. Senate and U.S. House candidates to submit a voluntary term limits declaration form — Monday, August 29
Young and Active Conservatives of Denver — Wednesday, August 31, 7:00 pm. Highland Tavern, 3400 Navajo Street, Denver, CO. HAPPY HOUR! We are conservative young adults in our 20s – 40s who enjoy talking politics and doing social activities. More information here.
General Election mail ballots drop – Monday, October 17
General Election polling locations open — Monday, October 24
General Election — Tuesday, November 8
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