A recent poll conducted by Chris Keating of Keating Research, a polling and survey firm that consults primarily for Democrats including Gov. John Hickenlooper and Denver Mayor Michael Hancock, reveals that Colorado’s political environment parallels the nation’s, but preferences on energy issues are distinctly Coloradan. The results come from 605 active voters, with a margin of error at 4 percent, plus or minus.
As with the country as a whole, Coloradans hold President Donald Trump at 40% favorable to 58% unfavorable, and give Gov. John Hickenlooper a 60% favorable to 32% unfavorable rating. Numbers are more contrasting at the Very Unfavorable level, with 51% Very Unfavorable for Trump and 19% Very Unfavorable for Hickenlooper.
Since Keating works mostly for the left side of the aisle, it’s important to look at his call list. He called 48% men and 52% women. His age range was 18-24 at 10% up to 70+ at 15%. Voters with children age 18 or younger comprised 27% of the sample and the split by party affiliation was 25% Democrat, 26% Republican, and 45% Independent. Colorado’s active voter registration actually divides almost equally at 32% Dem to 32% GOP to 36% Unaffiliated.
Happily, the survey shows that 64% of Coloradans think the state is headed in the “right direction” with 28% favoring the down side.
The poll’s main purpose was to explore voter commitment to four energy types as sources for development: coal, wind, solar and natural gas. It sought especially to pinpoint voters’ views on what energy sources should increase or decrease in use. Coloradans now have a dim view of coal, with 57% of respondents saying its use should decrease and only 18% choosing to increase its use. Wind (+76%) and especially solar (+84%) showed the most support for increased use, with natural gas at +36%.
The survey suggests that Coloradans from both political parties want public utilities to collaborate on reducing carbon emissions: 89% agree/11% disagree. Voters want the state to work with utilities to increase the use of clean renewable energy at 95% agree/5% disagree. Almost 50% of voters support increasing the state’s 30% renewable energy standard to over 50%. Most Coloradans (83%) want to take control of their energy future without waiting for the federal government to jump in.
The polling numbers indicate that Xcel’s recent decisions to add more renewable energy to its portfolio makes sense. Closing coal plants is apparently generally acceptable to Coloradans.
Clearly, renewable solar and wind power are popular. Natural gas is holding its own despite opposition to drilling from some cities along the northern Front Range.
These results have implications for the 2018 governor and legislator races on both Democratic and Republican sides. Democratic candidates can feel comfortable promoting more renewables. The effect of fracking vs. anti-fracking positions on voter preference is less clear.
Republicans face a different picture in the primaries and general election. Anti-climate change Republicans may be in sync with a majority in their party during the primary season. But that position is deeply out of sync with a majority of voters who will cast ballots in the general election.
One other interesting set of data. While 45% of the polled population identified as independent voters, only 25% viewed themselves as moderates. These individuals were outnumbered by liberals at 34% and conservatives at 38%. It appears there’s a muddy middle spectrum of voters, a minority, who support reduced-carbon energy policy. They will make a difference in how the general election turns out.