By TCS Publisher and Editor in Chief Jared Wright _@JaredWright_
Wednesday, March 2, 2016
DENVER – Good morning and good luck to you today as you regain your strength and energy following a wild Colorado Super Tuesday.
“Don’t mistake activity with achievement.” — John Wooden
Now, your substrata feed straight from the politics pipeline:
TAKEAWAYS FROM THE NIGHT THAT ALLOCATED 1/4 OF THE DELEGATES NATIONWIDE
Colorado Democrats had record turnout — According to Democratic state party Chairman Rick Palacio, the party surpassed its 2008 caucus attendance with 121,132 people and still counting, with 90% reporting as of last night — showing up to their precinct caucuses around the state. Palacio had initially said a day earlier that he did not expect the 120,000 mark from 2008 — Obama’s first presidential campaign cycle — to be overtaken … it was, in a big way last night, overwhelming the system and drawing many complaints in the process.
Complaints, and reminiscing the days of old with the primary system — Three people yesterday evening best summed up Democrat’s (and many Republican’s) frustrations with Colorado’s caucus system — specifically with the large Democratic turnout last night and the hours waiting in line for many delegates in dozens of caucus locations throughout the Denver metro area — and literally overwhelming turnout in Boulder County. Angelique Espinoza, a Democrat candidate running against Edie Hooton for the Democratic nomination to replace term-limited House Speaker Dickey Lee Hullinghorst not mincing words when she said, in response to Palacio’s tweet about record caucus turnout, “… and what a cluster it was! Time to go back to primaries. Tonight was a disgrace.”
No word from Hooton on the matter, who was quiet all night … presumably running for office.
State Rep. Alec Garnett seized on the huge turnout and frustrations last night to do a little bit of lobbying for moving Colorado back to a presidential primary state. “CO needs a Presidential Primary! A bill to do just that failed last year. http://www.leg.state.co.us/clics/clics201 … #coleg #COcaucus #copolitics @COHouseDem,” he tweeted. Heavyweight political consultant Craig Hughesagreed:
Meanwhile, Lynn Bartels was keeping people on task, making sure they remember why we did away with the primary in Colorado … $$$
As I predicted to you yesterday, Sanders won the Centennial State, a must-win for him — Bernie Sanders declared victory in Colorado, having started out early in the evening trailing Hillary Clinton and then quickly accelerating away from her for the rest of the evening, sprinting through the finish line. Rep. Joe Salazar? Well, he kinda wants to say he told you so. Sanders swept Colorado, winning 59% of the vote (71,627) to Clinton’s 40% (49,102) with 2958 out of 3010 precincts reporting.
Delegates allocated out of 78 available (as of right now):
Sanders — 39
Clinton — 26
But, Clinton also has 8 PLEOs or Party Leaders and Elected Officials (superdelegates) in her camp (though they are unbound), putting her total at 34 delegates from the Centennial State. One pledged delegate remains to be allocated when the last 2% reports in, and 4 superdelegates remain neutral (state party officials including Palacio).
Republicans had high turnout too — Approximately 60,000 were expected, but it has yet to be announced what the totals were statewide.
Conjecturally speaking, Trump may have not won Colorado (had he had the chance to try last night) — From self-reported GOP caucus unofficial straw poll results, orchestrated by John Brackney yesterday, taken and added to Adams County straw poll results and self-reported results from one precinct on the Western Slope, one more on the Front Range, and one more in Douglas County, the following picture is painted … Cruz wins Colorado with Rubio placing second and Trump a distant third.
Cruz — 39%
Rubio — 26%
Trump — 20%
Carson — 11%
Kasich — 4%
Who won what, where on Super Tuesday? —
Clinton — Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia
Sanders — Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Vermont
Trump — Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Vermont and Virginia
Cruz — Alaska, Oklahoma and Texas
Rubio — Minnesota
The Numbers (as they stand now) —
3/1/16 Colorado Democratic Prediction —Sanders wins at precinct caucuses tonight, but with Clinton already ahead in Superdelegates, it may not be a substantial victory.
Did I accidentally leave yesterday’s prediction in here? Hey … I love it when a forecast comes together.
Up Next — Four states have contests this Saturday, March 5: Kansas caucuses (both parties), Kentucky Republican caucuses, Louisiana primaries (both parties), Maine Republican caucuses and Nebraska Democratic caucuses. March 6 is the Maine Democratic caucuses and Puerto Rico Republican primary.
Read a full report in The Colorado Statesman here about the math involved for presidential candidates going forward
No Republican nominee has ever won all of the different states Donald Trump has — This was the headline from a fascinating report in the Washington Post which shows that, going all the way back to 1960, “no Republican nominee has won the states of Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, New Hampshire, Nevada, Virginia and South Carolina” — as Trump has. The bottom line — all of the historical candidates that won a similar swath of states ended up being the nominee.
Read the full report here.
Stuart Rothenberg — Rothenberg writes an interesting article on Ted Cruz’s “surviving evangelical alternative strategy,” John Kasich’s “Great Lakes strategy” and Marco Rubio’s “campaign everywhere strategy.”
Colorado U.S. Senate GOP candidate straw poll in Adams County — Unofficial and non-final results are as follows with 69.62% reporting as of last night:
Tim Neville: 29.14%
Daryl Glenn: 14.03%
Ryan Frazier: 13.67%
Peg Littleton: 9.35%
Charles Ehler: 8.99%
Jon Keyser: 7.73%
Robert Blaha: 7.55%
Jerry Eller: 3.17%
Tom Janich: 3.24%
Jack Graham, Greg Lopez, Donald Rosier and Jerry Natividad all had less than 1%
Republican Crowder remains the lone wolf on his support for the Hospital Provider Fee change — Some may believe Sen. Larry Crowder must feel emboldened now after Attorney General Cynthia Coffman’s opinion on the legality of the HPF, but he believed it was the right thing to do all along. Crowder is very much at odds with Senate President Bill Cadman on the issue.
Read the full report by The Statesman’s Kara Mason here.
First interview with businessman Jerry Natividad on his plans for his U.S. Senate bid as the 13th GOP candidate in the race — Read the full report here from The Statsman’s Ernest Luning
“He knows nothing and thinks he knows everything. That points clearly to a political career” — George Bernard Shaw
Birthdays: Happy Birthday in advance to Kelly Maher, Executive Director of Compass Colorado, who celebrates her birthday tomorrow.
Mental Health America of Colorado Legislative Education and Advocacy Day — Awarding Reps. Lois Landgraf and Diane Primavera and Sen. John Kefalas their Legislators of the Year awards. Thurs., Mar. 3, 8:00 am – 2:00 pm, Scottish Rite Masonic Center, 1370 Grant St, Denver
Forging in the West, Celebrate Pueblo and the new documentary film — Thurs., Mar. 3, Haveypro Cinema Studio, 1836 Blake St, Ste 203, Denver, 5:00 pm – 6:30 pm, RSVP to 303-296-7448 or firstname.lastname@example.org
Parker Republican Breakfast Club — Presentation from Parker Water and Sanitation District Director Ron Redd, Fri., Mar. 4, Elev. 5900 Kitchen and Bar, 19751 E Main St, Parker, 7:00 am – 8:00 am,
Denver County GOP Friday Breakfast with Senate Candidates — Darryl Glenn and Tim Neville are confirmed to speak at the breakfast. Ryan Frazier has reportedly cancelled — March 4, 7:00 am, Pete’s Greektown Cafe, 2910 E Colfax Ave
Next presidential contest — Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and Maine, Sat., Mar. 5
Puerto Rico Republican primary — Sun., Mar. 6
Government in the Grocery with Rep. Alec Garnett — Garnett listens to the concerns of shoppers and constituents by setting up a table in local grocery stores. Sat., Mar. 5, Natural Grocers, 1433 Washington St., Denver, 9:30 am — 11:30 am
Millennial Freedom Forum — Sunday, Mar. 6, Cherry Creek Country Club, 12:00 pm – 6:00 pm, RSVP at millenialfreedomforum.org
Golden View Classical Academy Sentinel Soiree — Sat., Mar. 12, Golden View Classical Academy, 601 Corporate Circle, Golden, 6:00 pm – 9:00 pm, best Colorado cocktail attire, RSVP to Hillary@WestBrookGroup.com
Agriculture Day at the Capitol — Set for Tuesdays, March 16 — get ready for awesome food and great folks to descend upon the Capitol.
Colorado Young Democrats 2016 Legislative Showdown — Wed., Mar. 16, The 1up, 717 E Colfax Ave, Denver, 5:30 pm – 7:30 pm. Please join Sen. Ulibarri, Rep. Garnett, Rep. Melton, Rep. Moreno, and other legislators for one of our signature annual events.
Colorado Republican Business Coalition Monthly Luncheon — Guest Speaker Sen. Chris Holbert, Fri., Mar. 18, Brooklyn’s at the Pepsi Center, 901 Auraria Pkwy, Denver, 11:30 am – 1:00 pm
17th Annual Icon Awards Gala — Fri., Mar. 18, Grand Hyatt Denver Downtown, 6:00 pm, Ticket includes appetizers, seated dinner, open bar, fabulous entertainment and dancing! Voted year after year as the best party in Denver! Tickets available at: http://bit.ly/1PN5Jj3
Rosting Mike Rosen — Sat. Mar. 19, Denver Marriot Tech Center, 4900 S Syracuse St, Denver, 5:30 pm – 11:00 pm, www.taps.org/classic
2nd Annual Westminster Chamber Awards Gala — Fri., Apr. 29, Westminster Chamber of Commerce, Denver Marriott Westminster, 6:00 pm – 11:00 pm. Join us for our 2nd Annual Awards Gala on April 29th at the Denver Marriott Westminster. Awards will be given to area business in different catagories. Food, Music and a Silent Auction will be part of this years event. There will be a 1 hour preview for VIP members and higher from 5-6pm and doors open to the public at 6pm. Purchase your ticket early and save $5 per ticket.
Want your event listed? Just let me know.
From the wires:
The Washington Post’s Janell Ross documented the many pained expressions of Chris Christie as he stood behind Donald Trump last night
The Coloradoan’s Nick Coltrain reports that crowd woes dominated the Colorado Democratic caucus
Colorado Public Radio reports on last nights caucus crowds and results
The Denver Business Journal’s Ed Sealover reports on Hullinghorst introducing a Colorado Hospital Provider Fee bill, despite continued GOP opposition
Columnist William A. Galston wrote an interesting column published in the Wall Street Journal yesterday, The Trump Test for Principled Republicans
KUNC’s Bente Birkeland reports on Bernie Sander’s Super Tuesday win in Colorado
The Colorado Springs Independent ‘s Pam Zubeck reports on the advancement of HB 1005 out of the House
CBS Denver reports on the passage of Rep. Steve Lebsock’s red light camera limitation bill
Dan Gibbs wrote a column for The Summit Daily on why the I-70 traction bill ‘needs our support’
The Durango Herald’s Peter Marcus reports on Sen. Ellen Robert’s compromise on the Public Lands Day bill in the Senate
Time Call’s Alex Burness and Sarah Kuta report on voters being turned away as Boulder County Democrats overwhelmed the caucuses last night
The Boulder Daily Camera’s Alex Burness reports that even with advance warning, Democrats say they couldn’t have handled the caucus turnout in Boulder County
The Vail Daily’s John Laconte reports that Eagle County felt the Bern
Roll Call reports what we learned from Super Tuesday
The Denver Post’s Mark Matthews, John Frank and Elizabeth Hernandez report on thousands of Colorado GOP voters attending their caucuses
The Denver Channel reports on caucus goers literally holding caucus outside
Colorado Capitol Watch — From our bill tracking partners:
House and Senate Calendars:
HOUSE – Your Mar. 2 Calendar here
SENATE – Your Mar. 2 Calendar here
You’re up to date. Have a great Wednesday! Until tomorrow …
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